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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 230.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 232.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 230.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an impressive 7.85 adjusted yards-per-target (79th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson places among the most effective quarterbacks in football.
  • Opposing QBs have thrown for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in football (268.0 per game) vs. the Bengals defense this year.
  • This year, the poor Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing offenses: a staggering 8.75 yards.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.7% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to attempt 30.2 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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