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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 205.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 209.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 205.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • Lamar Jackson grades out as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL this year with an impressive 69.8% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 82nd percentile.
  • Lamar Jackson rates as one of the most effective passers in football this year, averaging an exceptional 8.59 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 94th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 51.6 per game on average).
  • The weather report calls for 24-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to attempt 29.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.

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