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Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 223.5 (-109/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 225.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 223.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Lamar Jackson's 72.6% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy boost in his throwing accuracy over last year's 67.6% rate.

Lamar Jackson is positioned as one of the most efficient QBs in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 9.07 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 92nd percentile.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Minnesota's collection of CBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 9th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.

The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).

In tallying a measly 17.3 pass attempts per game this year, Lamar Jackson stands among the bottom QBs in the NFL (15th percentile) for this stat.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

Lamar Jackson Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10