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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 115.5 (-110/-118).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 67.0 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Lamar Jackson's 72.6% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy boost in his throwing accuracy over last year's 67.6% rate.
  • Lamar Jackson is positioned as one of the most efficient QBs in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 9.07 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 92nd percentile.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Minnesota's collection of CBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 9th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Ravens to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).
  • In tallying a measly 20.1 pass attempts per game this year, Lamar Jackson stands among the bottom QBs in the NFL (12th percentile) for this stat.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.

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