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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 226.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 225.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 226.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) last year.

With an exceptional total of 243.0 adjusted passing yards per game (78th percentile), Lamar Jackson places as one of the leading QBs in the league last year.

With a remarkable 8.72 adjusted yards-per-target (100th percentile) last year, Lamar Jackson ranks as one of the best per-play QBs in the NFL.

Last year, the weak Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered a monstrous 229.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 10th-worst in the NFL.

Last year, the feeble Bills defense has given up a massive 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-biggest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.49 seconds per play.

The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to throw 31.4 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

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