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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 220.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 204.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 220.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • Lamar Jackson has thrown for a lot more adjusted yards per game (264.0) this year than he did last year (225.0).
  • Lamar Jackson's passing effectiveness has been refined this season, totaling 8.94 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 7.89 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to attempt 29.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the fewest among all QBs.
  • This year, the stout Denver Broncos defense has allowed the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a measly 6.7 yards.
  • This year, the stout Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a feeble 4.0 YAC.

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