Lamar Jackson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Passing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 220.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 204.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 220.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
Lamar Jackson has thrown for a lot more adjusted yards per game (264.0) this year than he did last year (225.0).
Lamar Jackson's passing effectiveness has been refined this season, totaling 8.94 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 7.89 rate last season.

Favors Under

The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to attempt 29.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the fewest among all QBs.
This year, the stout Denver Broncos defense has allowed the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a measly 6.7 yards.
This year, the stout Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a feeble 4.0 YAC.

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