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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 209.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 211.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 209.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • With an excellent 7.80 adjusted yards-per-target (79th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson rates among the most efficient passers in the league.
  • The Bengals pass defense has shown poor efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 8.64 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are forecasted by the projections to run only 61.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • In this week's game, Lamar Jackson is predicted by the projection model to total the 4th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 27.7.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

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