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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) last year.
  • The Bills safeties project as the worst collection of safeties in football last year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.49 seconds per play.
  • The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to throw 31.4 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.
  • In throwing a measly 0.24 interceptions per game last year, Lamar Jackson ranks among the best QBs in the NFL (88th percentile).
  • The Bills have intercepted 0.93 targets per game last year, grading out as the 7th-best defense in football by this statistic.

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