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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-107/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Lamar Jackson has been one of the most accurate passers in the league since the start of last season with a remarkable 67.8% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 75th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 12.5 points.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 47.3% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Lamar Jackson to throw 28.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.

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