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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • This year, the poor Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed a monstrous 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At a massive 30.21 seconds per snap, the Ravens offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • In this contest, Lamar Jackson is anticipated by the model to have the 4th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 31.1.
  • The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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