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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/+111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -147 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 129.7 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Bengals defense this year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a measly 52.0 per game on average).
  • In this week's game, Lamar Jackson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 30.6.
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.

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