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Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+107/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

With a fantastic 68.5% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson stands among the most accurate quarterbacks in the league.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

The model projects Lamar Jackson to throw 30.1 passes in this game, on average: the 2nd-fewest among all quarterbacks.

The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

Lamar Jackson CompletionsPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 12