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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Lamar Jackson's 72.6% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy boost in his throwing accuracy over last year's 67.6% rate.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Minnesota's collection of CBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 9th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).
  • In tallying a measly 17.3 pass attempts per game this year, Lamar Jackson stands among the bottom QBs in the NFL (15th percentile) for this stat.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.

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