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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to run on 39.7% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • In this week's contest, Lamar Jackson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to accrue the 4th-most carries out of all QBs with 5.6.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.46 seconds per snap.
  • The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • After taking on 26.1% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Lamar Jackson has been called on less the running game this season, now comprising just 18.0%.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's group of DEs has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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