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Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 48.6% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.

In this week's game, Lamar Jackson is anticipated by the predictive model to total the 4th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 6.5.

The New England Patriots defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 51.9 plays per game.

Lamar Jackson has been a much smaller piece of his team's rushing attack this season (19.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (26.1%).

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

Lamar Jackson CarriesPlayer Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 16