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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-116/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 50.3% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • The model projects Lamar Jackson to garner 6.7 carries in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.
  • The Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • Lamar Jackson has been a much smaller piece of his team's run game this season (20.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (26.1%).

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