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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+120/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Ravens to run on 51.1% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to garner 7.2 carries in this game, on average: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, New York's unit has been very bad this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
  • Lamar Jackson has been a much smaller piece of his team's ground game this year (20.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (26.1%).

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