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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -300 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • The model projects the Ravens to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 40.7% run rate.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect Lamar Jackson to earn 7.5 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • Taking on 23.4% of his offense's carries this year (92nd percentile when it comes to QBs), Lamar Jackson's mobility marks him as a dangerous threat in Baltimore's rushing attack.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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