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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-151/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -153 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -151.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 46.5% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to accrue 8.0 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.

Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, accounting for 25.9% of his team's run game usage last year, placing him in the 98th percentile among QBs.

The Bills linebackers rank as the 6th-worst LB corps in the NFL last year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.49 seconds per play.

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