Lamar Jackson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 6 points.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 51.3% of their plays: the highest rate on the slate this week.
In this contest, Lamar Jackson is expected by our trusted projection set to accrue the most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 9.6.
Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, taking on 29.5% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Favors Under

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 125.9 total plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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