Lamar Jackson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 43.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to total 9.5 carries in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (34.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (25.7% in games he has played).
The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 7th-worst LB corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

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