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Ladd McConkey

Ladd McConkey Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Ladd McConkey Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+168/-186).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +205 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +168.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.0 plays per game.
  • Since the start of last season, the porous Miami Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 70.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the biggest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 123.8 total plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Dolphins, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 28.8 per game) this year.
  • The Chargers offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • This year, the feeble Dolphins run defense has surrendered a colossal 1.20 rushing touchdowns per game to the opposing side: the 5th-worst rate in football.

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