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Ladd McConkey

Ladd McConkey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Ladd McConkey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-148/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ -148.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak New York Giants pass defense has conceded a monstrous 68.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 5th-worst rate in the league.
  • Since the start of last season, the poor New York Giants defense has conceded the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a massive 8.70 yards.
  • The New York cornerbacks project as the 9th-worst unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Chargers to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.
  • Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats reduced) on account of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Giants, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.1 per game) since the start of last season.

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