Ladd McConkey Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Ladd McConkey

NFL · Player Props

Ladd McConkey

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 19, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2026 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Ladd McConkey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Chargers being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 59.6% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The 4th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Chargers this year (a staggering 60.2 per game on average).
The Patriots pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.3%) vs. wide receivers this year (67.3%).
The New England Patriots pass defense has displayed bad efficiency against wide receivers this year, yielding 8.45 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
The Patriots linebackers profile as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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