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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-164/+146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -164.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in football (64.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 141.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • After averaging -2.0 air yards per game last season, Kyren Williams has gotten better this season, now pacing 10.0 per game.
  • Kyren Williams's 17.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 11.0.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Rams, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • Kyren Williams has earned 63.0% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
  • Kyren Williams's 84.6% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching skills over last season's 89.8% rate.

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