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Kyren Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-144/+136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +138 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 131.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

In regards to air yards, Kyren Williams grades out in the lofty 93rd percentile among running backs this year, accruing a monstrous 6.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

Kyren Williams's 17.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 11.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.

The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

The leading projections forecast Kyren Williams to be a much smaller piece of his team's air attack near the end zone in this week's game (13.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played).

When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

Kyren Williams's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 89.9% to 84.3%.

More Kyren Williams Player Props

Kyren Williams TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyren Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6