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Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+138).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +138.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league (62.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call 69.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.With a remarkable rate of 0.20 per game through the air (87th percentile), Kyren Williams rates as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among RBs this year.Since the start of last season, the deficient San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been torched for a whopping 90.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 5.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.Kyren Williams has received 60.0% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.The Los Angeles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.Kyren Williams's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 89.9% to 78.8%.
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