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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-172/+144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -172.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

Kyren Williams has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 11.8% this year, which places him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

With an impressive ratio of 0.25 per game through the air (96th percentile), Kyren Williams stands as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to running backs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Kyren Williams has been given 60.0% of his team's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.

In regards to air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the paltry 14th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging just -2.0 per game.

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Kyren Williams's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 89.9% to 83.3%.

More Kyren Williams Player Props

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