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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 21

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+142/-178).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -178.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Rams to be the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 131.0 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year.
  • After accruing -2.0 air yards per game last year, Kyren Williams has shown good development this year, now sitting at 9.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all RBs, Kyren Williams ranks in the 96th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, comprising 62.7% of the volume in his offense's run game near the end zone.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Kyren Williams's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 89.9% to 82.1%.
  • With an excellent ratio of 0.50 TDs on the ground per game (94th percentile), Kyren Williams has been as one of the best rushing TD-scorers in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the formidable Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a mere 66.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-lowest rate in football.

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