My Account Log Out
 
 
Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 20

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Rams to be the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • With a top-tier 9.2% Red Zone Target Rate (77th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.
  • After accruing -2.0 air yards per game last season, Kyren Williams has seen marked improvement this season, now averaging 8.0 per game.
  • Kyren Williams ranks in the 88th percentile among running backs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.16 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Out of all running backs, Kyren Williams ranks in the 96th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, making up 62.7% of the volume in his team's ground game near the end zone.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the worst in football this year.
  • Kyren Williams's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 89.9% to 82.1%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™