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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-119/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Kyren Williams has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 9.2% this year, which ranks in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • After averaging -2.0 air yards per game last season, Kyren Williams has shown good development this season, currently averaging 8.0 per game.
  • Kyren Williams grades out in the 88th percentile among running backs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.16 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.
  • Kyren Williams has earned 62.7% of his team's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Kyren Williams's 82.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a noteable reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 89.9% figure.

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