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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.
  • With an extraordinary 9.8% Red Zone Target Rate (79th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams ranks among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.
  • As it relates to air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 96th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating an astounding 7.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more impressive than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Among all running backs, Kyren Williams grades out in the 93rd percentile for red zone carries this year, accounting for 61.5% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Kyren Williams's 82.3% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 89.9% mark.
  • Kyren Williams has run for 0.62 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest marks in football among RBs (96th percentile).

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