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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.5 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • With an elite 11.2% Red Zone Target Share (87th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams rates among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.
  • When it comes to air yards, Kyren Williams grades out in the lofty 97th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a monstrous 7.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 9.5-point advantage, the Rams are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • The Rams have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.
  • Out of all running backs, Kyren Williams grades out in the 94th percentile for red zone carries this year, making up 63.6% of the usage in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Kyren Williams's 81.0% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 89.8% rate.

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