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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-127/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Rams.
  • Kyren Williams has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 12.7% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Kyren Williams has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (8.0 per game) than he did last season (-2.0 per game).
  • With an impressive ratio of 0.25 per game through the air (95th percentile), Kyren Williams stands as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among running backs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Rams, who are overwhelmingly favored by 10 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.54 seconds per play) will play at the 11th-most sluggish pace out of all the games this week.
  • Kyren Williams has garnered 62.5% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • Kyren Williams's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 89.9% to 81.1%.

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