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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-148/+127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -148.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Rams.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are projected by the projection model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
  • The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Kyren Williams has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 13.6% this year, which places him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
  • After averaging -2.0 air yards per game last year, Kyren Williams has posted big gains this year, now averaging 8.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Kyren Williams has been given 63.8% of his team's red zone carries this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Kyren Williams's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 89.9% to 80.8%.
  • With an exceptional rate of 0.55 touchdowns on the ground per game (90th percentile), Kyren Williams ranks among the leading rushing TD-scorers in the league this year.

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