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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-107/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Rams rank as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 59.7% red zone pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • Kyren Williams has received 65.0% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Rams offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Kyren Williams's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 89.8% to 82.6%.
  • Kyren Williams has run for 0.50 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the league when it comes to running backs (90th percentile).

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