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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/+113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.9 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • Kyren Williams has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 13.0% this year, which ranks him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Kyren Williams has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (9.0 per game) than he did last season (-2.0 per game).
  • With a terrific rate of 0.30 per game through the air (95th percentile), Kyren Williams stands among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league among running backs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 6-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • Kyren Williams has garnered 65.7% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Kyren Williams's 84.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a remarkable drop-off in his receiving skills over last year's 89.8% figure.
  • Kyren Williams has rushed for 0.30 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest marks in the NFL among running backs (80th percentile).

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