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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-128/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 68.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect Kyren Williams to earn 17.5 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Rams to run on 41.1% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Kyren Williams has been a less important option in his offense's rushing attack this year (67.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (77.4%).
  • Kyren Williams's 62.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a material decrease in his rushing ability over last year's 85.0 mark.
  • This year, the stout Jaguars run defense has surrendered a mere 92.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 7th-best in the league.
  • The Jaguars safeties project as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year with their run defense.

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