Kyren Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 30, 2025 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
Kyren Williams's 5.2 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a meaningful improvement in his running skills over last season's 4.3 rate.
Opposing offenses have run for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (129 per game) versus the Falcons defense this year.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles project as the worst unit in the NFL this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to run on 37.8% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
After comprising 77.4% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Kyren Williams has played a smaller part in the rushing attack this season, now sitting at just 61.8%.
Kyren Williams has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (72.0) this season than he did last season (85.0).

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