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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Rams are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Kyren Williams to accrue 14.1 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
  • Kyren Williams's running effectiveness has been refined this year, accumulating 5.30 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 4.30 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to run on 37.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Kyren Williams has been much less involved in his team's rushing attack this season (63.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (77.4%).
  • Kyren Williams's 74.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a material drop-off in his running talent over last year's 85.0 figure.

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