Kyren Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (+110/-151).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -151.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The model projects Kyren Williams to notch 16.6 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
While Kyren Williams has accounted for 58.2% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Los Angeles's ground game in this week's contest at 69.9%.
As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Indianapolis's group of safeties has been dreadful since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to be the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have called the 9th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 56.1 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Colts defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, conceding just 4.34 yards-per-carry.

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