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Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 68.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

Our trusted projections expect Kyren Williams to notch 4.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

Kyren Williams's 18.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 11.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Kyren Williams's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 89.9% to 86.5%.

The Jaguars linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

More Kyren Williams Player Props

Kyren Williams ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 7