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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-195/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league (62.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call 69.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Kyren Williams has been much less involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for just 73.7% of snaps vs 86.6% last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the deficient San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been torched for a whopping 90.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 5.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.
  • The Los Angeles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Kyren Williams's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 89.9% to 78.8%.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the best group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

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