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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • Kyren Williams has run a route on 61.5% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Kyren Williams's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 89.9% to 83.3%.
  • The Colts safeties project as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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