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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-168/+131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -168 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -168.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Rams to be the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Kyren Williams has been a less important option in his team's offense this year, playing on just 68.8% of snaps vs 86.6% last year.
  • The model projects Kyren Williams to accrue 2.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Bears linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in regard to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the worst in football this year.
  • Kyren Williams's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 89.9% to 82.1%.

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