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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-148/+132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -148.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Kyren Williams has been much less involved in his team's offense this year, staying in the game for just 69.2% of snaps vs 86.6% last year.
  • Our trusted projections expect Kyren Williams to earn 2.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.
  • Kyren Williams's 82.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a noteable reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 89.9% figure.
  • The Carolina Panthers safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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