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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-161/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -161.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.
  • Kyren Williams's 69.2% Snap% this year marks a significant reduction in his offensive volume over last year's 86.6% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Kyren Williams's 82.3% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 89.9% mark.
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (79.2%) to RBs this year (79.2%).
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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