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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+200/-300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -280 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -300.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Kyren Williams has been a less important option in his team's offense this season, playing on just 70.6% of snaps vs 86.6% last season.
  • In this week's contest, Kyren Williams is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.0 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).
  • Kyren Williams's 81.9% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a material drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last year's 89.8% mark.
  • This year, the formidable Detroit Lions defense has given up a meager 77.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Detroit's safety corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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