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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+134/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -152.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.
  • Kyren Williams has run a route on 56.3% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The Rams offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Kyren Williams's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 89.8% to 82.6%.
  • This year, the tough Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered a measly 76.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 6th-smallest rate in the NFL.
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 7th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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