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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.9 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • Kyren Williams has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for just 74.0% of snaps vs 86.6% last season.
  • In this game, Kyren Williams is expected by the projections to place in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.5 targets.
  • With an outstanding 2.0 adjusted receptions per game (76th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams has been as one of the top pass-game RBs in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 6-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Kyren Williams's 84.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a remarkable drop-off in his receiving skills over last year's 89.8% figure.

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