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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Rams vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Rams to run the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Kyren Williams has run a route on 63.9% of his offense's dropbacks last year, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • With an excellent 90.0% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) last year, Kyren Williams places among the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Rams grades out as the 5th-worst in football last year.
  • Last year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has given up a meager 77.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Texans defensive ends profile as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the league last year in regard to rushing the passer.

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